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hydro_value_ranges [2015/01/21 13:00] – codina | hydro_value_ranges [2023/11/16 15:21] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1 | ||
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+ | ====== Hydro value ranges ====== | ||
+ | The OFEN has evaluated the development potential of the hydro power < | ||
+ | ^ Development potential of the hydro power [GWh/ | ||
+ | ^ ^Actual conditions ^Optimized conditions ^ | ||
+ | |New big plants |770 |1'430 | | ||
+ | |Small hydro |1'290 |1'600 | | ||
+ | |Transformation, | ||
+ | |LEaux effects |-1' | ||
+ | ^Total net potential ^1'530 ^3'160 ^ | ||
+ | |||
+ | PROGNOS(2012) < | ||
+ | |||
+ | ^ Development potential of the hydro power [GWh/ | ||
+ | |Small hydro |1600 | | ||
+ | |[[hydro_river_more_2|Hydro river]] |2000 | | ||
+ | |[[hydro_dam_more_2|Hydro dam]]|900 | | ||
+ | |LEaux effects |-1400 | | ||
+ | ^Total net potential ^3100 ^ | ||
+ | |||
+ | The next assumptions have been considered to calculate the net potential development for [[hydro_river_more_2|hydro river]] and [[hydro_dam_more_2|hydro dam]] by 2050: | ||
+ | * Small hydro development is attributed to [[hydro_river_more_2|run-of-river]]. | ||
+ | * The LEaux production penalty is shared between [[hydro_river_more_2|hydro river]] and [[hydro_dam_more_2|hydro dam]] depending on their net electricity production < | ||
+ | |||
+ | The net development potentials for each technology are added to the 2011 net electricity production < | ||
+ | |||
+ | ^ Net electricity production [TWh/ | ||
+ | ^ ^2011 ^2050 ^ | ||
+ | ^[[hydro_river_more_2|Hydro river]] |16.94 |19.85 | | ||
+ | ^[[hydro_dam_more_2|Hydro dam]] |17.29 |17.48 | | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | For the cost model it is necessary to know how the new electricity production is obtained (new dams, new run of river plants, existing plants improvement and renovation). The next table has been created with the information from PROGNOS(2012)< | ||
+ | |||
+ | ^ Brut development potential by 2050 [GWh/ | ||
+ | ^ ^[[hydro_river_more_2|Hydro river]] ^[[hydro_dam_more_2|Hydro dam]] ^ | ||
+ | ^Renovation and extension |677 |793 | | ||
+ | ^New big plants |1324 |108 | | ||
+ | ^New small plants |1600 |0 | | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ===== References ===== | ||
+ | [1] [[http:// | ||
+ | énergétique 2050]] | ||
+ | |||
+ | [2] [[http:// | ||
+ | |||
+ | [3] [[http:// |